Analysis of Risk

5/7/98


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Table of Contents

Analysis of Risk

Risk

Different Views of Risk

What is Risk & Uncertainty?

General Risk Categories

More Risk Categories

Credit Risk

Foreign Investment Risks

Cultural Risk

More Foreign Investment Risks

Risk Aversion

Risk Preferers

How Do We Measure Risk?

Is this a fund for widows & orphans?

Review: Variance

Standard Deviation (?)

Normal Curve

Another Measure of Risk

An Example Using V

B is much riskier

Beta Also Measures Risk

How can we use probabilities with standard deviation?

Expected Value (EV)

Calculate EV

Calculate Standard Deviation (?)

Standard Deviation Measures Risk

B is much riskier!

The Valuation Model

How can we adjust for risk?

Choices

Certainty Equivalent Adjustment Factor (?)

Valuation Model Adjusted for Risk

Risk-Adjusted Discount Rate

Summary of Risk

Summary of Risk

Summary of Risk

Summary of Risk

Author: Frederica Shockley